Win Probability for Pakistan and New Zealand in First T20I

Win Probability for Pakistan and New Zealand in First T20I

Pakistan and New Zealand are set to face off in the first T20I of their highly anticipated series, with the match scheduled to take place in Christchurch at 6:15 AM Pakistan Standard Time (PST).

This clash marks the beginning of a competitive white-ball series between the two teams following the recently concluded ICC Champions Trophy 2025.

According to the win probability, New Zealand holds a 64% chance of victory, primarily due to their impressive form in recent matches, including their strong performances in the Champions Trophy. Pakistan, however, has a 36% chance of securing a win in the opening T20I, considering their past records and potential for unpredictability.

The 2025 cricket calendar is filled with high-intensity fixtures, and after the conclusion of the ICC Champions Trophy, focus now shifts to this bilateral series between Champions Trophy hosts Pakistan and runners-up New Zealand. Pakistan is touring New Zealand for a series consisting of five T20Is and three ODIs, with the first match set to be played at Hagley Oval in Christchurch. Both teams experienced disappointment in the Champions Trophy—New Zealand suffered another heartbreak in the finals, while Pakistan failed to reach the semifinals despite playing on home soil as defending champions.

New Zealand will be led by Michael Bracewell, who had a solid Champions Trophy campaign. The squad features a mix of young talent and experienced players, with Will O’Rourke and Kyle Jamieson spearheading the bowling attack. Additionally, all-rounder James Neesham and leg-spinner Ish Sodhi return to the squad. With the T20 World Cup 2026 in India on the horizon, New Zealand’s players will be eager to cement their places in the squad.

Pakistan, on the other hand, has made significant changes to its squad. However, key players like Haris Rauf, Shaheen Afridi, and leg-spinner Abrar Ahmed retain their spots. Salman Agha has been named captain for the T20I series, with Shadab Khan returning as vice-captain. The batting lineup includes hard-hitting Mohammad Haris and Usman Khan, while young talents like Hasan Nawaz and Abdul Samad may get opportunities to debut.

While New Zealand enjoys the home advantage and appears to be the stronger side, Pakistan’s revamped squad could surprise many. With both teams eager to start the series on a winning note, an exciting contest is expected. Who do you think will emerge victorious in this thrilling opening encounter?