The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has categorically refuted recent reports suggesting a possible extension of the deadline for filing income tax returns for the tax year 2021.
(more…)Author: Faisal Shahnawaz
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Failure to keep record to attract two years imprisonment
Section 193 of Income Tax Ordinance, 2001, updated up to June 30, 2021, now emphasizes that a taxpayer may face two years imprisonment on failure to keep record.
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KIBOR rates on September 21, 2021
KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Tuesday issued the following Karachi Interbank Offered Rates (KIBOR) on September 21, 2021.
Tenor BID OFFER 1 – Week 7.20 7.70 2 – Week 7.24 7.74 1 – Month 7.28 7.78 3 – Month 7.44 7.69 6 – Month 7.66 7.91 9 – Month 7.81 8.31 1 – Year 8.00 8.50 -

KSE-100 index plunges 519 points amid selling
KARACHI: The benchmark KSE-100 index of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) plunged by 519 points on Tuesday due to across-the-board selling on closing.
The benchmark index ended at 46,009 points as against the previous day’s close of 46,528 points.
Analysts at Arif Habib Limited said that the market posted an increase of 305 points during the session early on, however lost that gain and by the end of session lost a total of 1055 points (including the erosion of 305 points earned earlier).
At closing, the market saw a steep decline. Selling was witnessed across the board, with heavy implications on Technology and Cement sectors.
Despite low leverage level in the market in DFC, MTS and MFS segments, index melted due to calls of redemption at Mutual Funds.
Regardless of the steep decline in Index, overall trading volumes remained low compared to the hay days seen in outgoing fiscal. Among scrips, TELE realized trading volumes of 28.1 million shares, followed by WTL (26.4 million) and TPL (21.4 million).
Sectors contributing to the performance include Cement (-101 points), Technology (-81 points), Banks (-45 points), Fertilizer (-39 points) and E&P (-34 points).
Volumes increased from 194.7 million shares to 325.9 million shares (+67 per cent DoD). Average traded value also increased by 53 per cent to reach US$ 73.1 million as against US$ 47.9 million.
Stocks that contributed significantly to the volumes include TELE, WTL, TPL, BYCO and TRG, which formed 33 per cent of total volumes.
Stocks that contributed positively to the index include HMB (+18 points), MCB (+18 points), BAFL (+14 points), ANL (+14 points) and COLG (+7 points). Stocks that contributed negatively include SYS (-53 points), MEBL (-37 points), HBL (-34 points), LUCK (-32 points) and TRG (-23 points).
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SBP issues customers exchange rates for September 21
Karachi, September 21, 2021 – The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has issued the exchange rates for customers on Tuesday, September 21, 2021.
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Revised taxation for banks applicable January 01, 2021
ISLAMABAD: The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has revised taxation for banks from tax year 2022 (starting from January 01, 2021, to December 31, 2021) onwards.
An important amendment has been introduced through Tax Laws (Third Amendment) Ordinance, 2021, which was promulgated through a presidential ordinance.
Through Finance Act, 2021, a sub-rule (6A) in rule 6C of Income Tax Ordinance, 2001 was introduced, which was applicable for banks from the tax year 2022 (January 01, 2021 to December 31, 2021).
The text of sub-rule 6A was:
(6A) For tax year 2022 onwards, the taxable income attributable to investment in the Federal Government securities shall be taxed at the rate of—
(i) 40 per cent instead of rate provided in Division II of Part I of the First schedule if the assets to deposit ratio as on last day of the tax year is upto 40 per cent;
(ii) 37.5 per cent instead of rate provided in Division II of Part I of the First schedule if the assets to deposit ratio as on last day of the tax year exceeds 40 per cent but does not exceed 50 per cent; and
(iii) at the rates provided in Division II of Part I of the First schedule if assets to deposit ratio as on last day of the tax year exceeds 50 per cent.
However, through Tax Laws (Third Amendment) Ordinance, 2021 this was amended and for the words ‘assets’, wherever occurring, the words ‘gross advances’ shall be substituted.
Tax experts believe that the amendment would have a negative impact on banks with ADR of less than 50 per cent as they have to pay additional tax on their entire income arising from investment in government securities rather than additional income as was the case previously.
They said that the banks with low ADR took the impact of the same in June 2021 financial results and as a result effective tax rate of banking sector increased from 38 per cent in 2Q2020 to 40 per cent in 2Q2021. This is likely to have an earnings impact of around 5-10 per cent for the sector.
The idea of this increased taxation was to encourage banks to increase their lending activity but this remains a big question mark of how effective this policy measure will be.
The latest banking sector data (week ending September 3, 2021) show that ADR of the sector is at 47 per cent, below the threshold of 50 per cent for additional taxation. This compares to ADR of 48 per cent in Sep-2020 and 45 per cent in Jun-2021.
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Three-year jail for false statement under income tax law
Section 192 of the Income Tax Ordinance, 2001, as updated up to June 30, 2021, through the Finance Act, 2021, recommends a three-year jail term for individuals found guilty of making false statements before the Commissioner Inland Revenue (IR).
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KIBOR rates on September 20, 2021
KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Monday issued the following Karachi Interbank Offered Rates (KIBOR) on September 20, 2021.
Tenor BID OFFER 1 – Week 6.96 7.46 2 – Week 7.02 7.52 1 – Month 7.09 7.59 3 – Month 7.32 7.57 6 – Month 7.50 7.75 9 – Month 7.66 8.16 1 – Year 7.82 8.32 -

SBP announces first policy rate increase in 26 months
KARACHI: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Monday announced first increase in key policy rate by 25 basis points in past 25 months.
Previously, the SBP announced the increase in policy rate of 100 basis points to 13.25 per cent.
The SBP kept the policy rate unchanged at 13.25 per cent till March 17, 2020 when it decided to reduce the policy rate by 75 per cent to 12.50 per cent.
Due to coronavirus pandemic, the central bank brought down the policy rate to 7 per cent in short span of time and maintained at this level for the past many months. The SBP reduced the policy rate to 7 per cent in its announcement on June 25, 2020.
At its meeting on September 20, 2021, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to raise the policy rate by 25 basis points to 7.25 percent.
Since its last meeting in July, the MPC noted that the pace of the economic recovery has exceeded expectations.
This robust recovery in domestic demand, coupled with higher international commodity prices, is leading to a strong pick-up in imports and a rise in the current account deficit.
While year-on-year inflation has declined since June, rising demand pressures together with higher imported inflation could begin to manifest in inflation readings later in the fiscal year.
With growing signs that the latest COVID wave in Pakistan remains contained, continued progress in vaccination, and overall deft management of the pandemic by the government, the economic recovery now appears less vulnerable to pandemic-related uncertainty.
As a result, at this more mature stage of the recovery, a greater emphasis is needed on ensuring the appropriate policy mix to protect the longevity of growth, keep inflation expectations anchored, and slow the growth in the current account deficit.
In line with this shift in the economic outlook, the MPC was of the view that the priority of monetary policy also needed to gradually pivot from catalyzing the recovery after the Covid shock toward sustaining it.
As foreshadowed in previous monetary policy statements, the MPC noted that this rebalancing would be best achieved by gradually tapering the significant monetary stimulus provided over the last 18 months.
The MPC noted that over the last few months the burden of adjusting to the rising current account deficit had fallen primarily on the exchange rate and it was appropriate for other adjustment tools, including interest rates, to also play their due role.
The MPC noted that the stance of monetary policy is still appropriately supportive of growth, with real interest rates remaining negative on a forward-looking basis. Looking ahead, in the absence of unforeseen circumstances, the MPC expects monetary policy to remain accommodative in the near term, with possible further gradual tapering of stimulus to achieve mildly positive real interest rates over time.
The pace of this possible further gradual tapering would be informed by updated information on the continued strength of demand growth and the stance of fiscal policy, amongst other factors.
In reaching its decision, the MPC considered key trends and prospects in the real, external and fiscal sectors, and the resulting outlook for monetary conditions and inflation.
With a supportiveFY22 budget and accommodative monetary policy, most high-frequency domestic demand indicators such as automobiles, POL (petroleum, oil and lubricants) sales, cement sales and electricity generation continue to depict robust growth. This growth is mirrored in the strength of imports and tax collections.
LSM registered strong growth in June (18.5 percent (y/y)) before moderating in August to 2.2 percent (y/y), in line with typical seasonal patterns. The services sector is also rebounding strongly; latest Google Community Mobility Reports show that activity across grocery stores, restaurants, and shopping centers during July and August rose above pre-Covid levels. In agriculture, the decline in the area under cultivation of cotton is expected to be compensated by an increase in area for rice, maize, and sugarcane. Based on these trends, growth in FY22 is now expected toward the upper end of the forecast range of 4-5 percent, notwithstanding some greater uncertainty with respect to spillovers from the evolving situation in Afghanistan.
The current account deficit rose to $0.8 billion in July and $1.5 billion in August, reflecting both vigorous domestic demand and high global commodity prices. While remittances remained strong, growing by 10.4 percent (y/y) during July-August and exports also performed reasonably well (averaging $2.3 billion per month), they were outstripped by imports. In response, the rupee depreciated by 4.1 percent since the last MPC meeting. The MPC noted that many other currencies have also depreciated recently as expectations of tapering by the Federal Reserve have been brought forward.
The MPC noted that the flexible market-based exchange rate regime has performed well since its introduction in June 2019, including through the Covid shock. It has overseen a healthy modulation of the current account and supported a critical build-up in the country’s gross and net FX reserves despite external pressures. Under this regime, the SBP does not suppress an underlying trend in the exchange rate and any interventions are limited to address disorderly market conditions. Since its floatation, the rupee has moved in an orderly manner in both directions and has depreciated by only 4.8 percent to date, much less than many other emerging market currencies over the same period. Since the rupee was floated, SBP’s gross foreign exchange reserves have nearly tripled to a record $20 billion, while net international reserves have risen by nearly $16 billion between end-June 2019 and end-August 2021.
The MPC observed that while the flexible exchange rate has appropriately played its role as a shock absorber, it is important that its role be complemented by strong exports, targeted measures to curb non-essential imports, and appropriate macroeconomic policy settings to contain import growth.
In FY21, prudent management of the public finances facilitated fiscal consolidation for the second year in a row despite Covid, with the primary deficit declining by around ½ percentage points to 1.4 percent of GDP. This improvement largely stemmed from strong growth in tax and petroleum development levy (PDL) revenues, together with significant deceleration in non-interest expenditures. Following the seasonal end-year release of expenditure allocations, the fiscal impulse was strongly expansionary in the final quarter of FY21. In the first two months of FY22, FBR revenue grew by over 40 percent (y/y)while Federal PSDP releases rose to an all-time high for this period, equivalent to nearly 44 percent of their budgeted amount for the full year. It will be important to support tax revenue growth and carefully monitor outturns through the year to ensure the budget remains on track. Any unforeseen slippages in the fiscal stance would further bolster domestic demand, imports and inflation.
The MPC noted that accommodative financial conditions have provided significant support to the growth recovery since the start of FY21. Following historic cuts in the policy rate and the introduction of SBP Covid-related support packages, private sector credit grew by more than 11 percent during FY21, on the back of consumer loans (mainly auto finance and personal loans) followed by a broad-based expansion in credit for fixed investment and finally working capital loans. The MPC felt that some macro prudential tightening of consumer finance may also be appropriate to moderate demand growth as part of the move toward gradually normalizing monetary conditions.
Inflation fell from 9.7 percent (y/y) in June to 8.4 percent in both July and August. In addition to favorable base effects, this decline reflects continued deceleration in administered prices of energy due to the reduction in PDL and sales tax on petroleum products. Core inflation also fell in both urban and rural areas in August. Nevertheless, the momentum of prices remains relatively elevated, with month-on-month increases of 1.3 percent in July and 0.6 percent in August. In addition, inflation expectations of both households and businesses have drifted up and wage growth has picked up as the recovery has strengthened.
Looking ahead, the inflation outlook largely depends on the path of domestic demand and administered prices, notably fuel and electricity, as well as global commodity prices. The MPC will continue to carefully monitor developments affecting medium-term prospects for inflation, financial stability and growth and stands ready to respond appropriately.
