Category: Money & Banking

Money and banking drive economic activity by facilitating transactions, savings, and investments. Banks manage financial resources, offer credit, and regulate money supply, ensuring stability and growth in Pakistan’s financial sector.

  • SBP revises ‘blocked accounts’ of non-resident Pakistanis under Foreign Exchange Manual

    SBP revises ‘blocked accounts’ of non-resident Pakistanis under Foreign Exchange Manual

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has revised blocked accounts of non-resident Pakistanis under Foreign Exchange Manual and laid down procedure for investment of amount from such blocked account.

    The SBP on Wednesday issued revised chapters of Foreign Exchange Manual and said that balances held in blocked accounts may be invested in approved government debt securities” expressed to be payable in Rupees or in fixed deposit with the bank in which the account is held subject to the prior approval of the State Bank.

    Such investment must be made through the bank with whom the blocked account is kept and registered in the name of the non-resident account holder or his/her nominee(s) in Pakistan.

    “The securities should not be held in bearer form and should not be sold or transferred without the permission of the State Bank. The income generated through investments in securities and sale proceeds of such securities must only be credited to the blocked account of the respective non-resident,” the SBP said.

    The SBP said that section 6 of the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act, 1947 empowers the State Bank to block the accounts in Pakistan of any person resident outside Pakistan and direct that payment of any sums due to that person shall only be made to a blocked account.

    In other words, amounts due to a person resident outside Pakistan, to whom remittances cannot be allowed, shall be credited to the blocked accounts of that person to ensure that the funds are not directly remitted or otherwise used in a manner contrary to the provisions of the Act.

    The SBP defined as a “blocked account” means an account opened as a blocked account at any office or branch in Pakistan of a bank authorized in this behalf by the State Bank or an account blocked by the order of the State Bank.

    All Authorized Dealers are permitted to open and maintain blocked accounts subject to the conditions laid down in subsequent paragraphs of this chapter. In certain cases, banks other than the Authorized Dealers may also be authorized by the State Bank to open and maintain blocked accounts.

    The State Bank may direct an authorized dealer to open a new or designate an existing account as “Blocked Account”. A blocked account may also be opened as a joint account in the name of a resident and a non-resident. No blocked account may be un-blocked or an existing ‘free’ account may be blocked by an Authorized Dealer except under the directions from the State Bank.

    Sub-section (1)(b) of Section 6 of the Act provides that where the State Bank has directed that any payment due to a non-resident may be made to a blocked account in his name with a bank in Pakistan, the crediting of the sum to the blocked account shall, to the extent of the sum credited, be a good discharge to the person making the payment.

    The central bank said that the State Bank may not approve certain remittances in settlement of liabilities to a particular person resident outside Pakistan. Payments in discharge of such liabilities to such person may be allowed to be made to a blocked account subject to such terms and conditions as may be specified by the State Bank.

    Where the State Bank directs that a payment be made to a blocked account, it may be made either:

    (i) by a banker’s payment order/cheque marked ‘payable to blocked account of ____________________only’ or

    (ii) by a crossed cheque or warrant drawn in favour of the beneficiary and marked with the words “Payable to blocked account of payee only.”

    (iii) Where such a cheque or warrant is sent to the payee, it is desirable that the payee should arrange for the opening of a blocked account with an Authorized Dealer in Pakistan before forwarding the instrument to that bank for collection. Application mentioning the name of the payee as the transferee and clearly marked ‘Blocked Account’ must be submitted to the State Bank for prior approval. The collecting bank must endorse cheques, warrants or drafts so marked “received for the credit of blocked account at ………………………… (Bank and Branch)” before presenting them for payment. The paying bank shall not pay such instruments, unless they are approved by the State Bank for payment to a blocked account. After payment has been made, the bank must endorse the instrument as “Payment made to blocked account at ………………………… (Bank and Branch)”. The amount which the State Bank has directed to be credited to a blocked account, must be immobilized pending the opening of the account and may not be used for any other purpose except with the prior approval of the State Bank.

    The State Bank may issue special instructions regarding operations on blocked accounts. In the absence of any such special instructions, no payments into or withdrawal from blocked accounts may be made unless prior approval of the State Bank has been obtained.

  • Rupee ends 160.06 against dollar

    Rupee ends 160.06 against dollar

    KARACHI: The Pak Rupee ended down by 19 paisas against dollar on Tuesday amid money policy announcement and higher demand for import and corporate payments.

    The rupee ended Rs160.06 to the dollar from previous day’s closing of Rs159.87 in interbank foreign exchange market.

    The foreign currency market was initiated in the range of Rs160.25 and Rs160.60. The market recorded day high of Rs160.95 and low of Rs159.90 in interbank foreign exchange market.

    Currency experts said that the local currency would remain under pressure due to schedule repayment of foreign debt and payment for imports.

    The exchange rate in open market also witnessed depreciation in local currency. The buying and selling of dollar was recorded at Rs160.00/Rs160.50 from previous day’s closing of Rs159.50/Rs160.50 in cash ready market.

  • SBP increases key policy rate by 100bps to 13.25 percent

    SBP increases key policy rate by 100bps to 13.25 percent

    KARACHI: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Tuesday increased key policy rate by 100 basis points to 13.25 percent for next two months.

    The policy rate was announced by SBP governor Reza Baqir at a press conference here on Tuesday.

    The governor said that the monetary policy is announced in the month of July. He said that Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is an independent body to decide the policy rate.

    The governor said that the increase in utility prices would have inflationary pressure. The average inflation during the current fiscal year may increase to 11 to 12 percent. However, the pace of inflation will ease down during third and fourth quarter, he added.

    He said that hike in utility prices would inflate the prices of essential items. It may hurt the purchase power of common men. Considering these elements the committee decided to increase the discount rate, he added.

    The governor said that the policy rate would be eased if indicators showed improvements in coming months.

    The SBP later in its press release issued the following statement:

    There have been three key developments since the last MPC meeting.

    First, the Government of Pakistan has passed a FY20 budget that seeks to credibly improve fiscal sustainability by focusing on revenue measures to widen the tax base.

    Adjustments in utility prices and other measures in the budget are expected to lead to a one-time considerable increase in prices in the first half of FY20.

    On the other hand, the government has also committed to cease borrowing from the State Bank that would qualitatively improve the inflation outlook.

    Second, the outlook for external financing has further strengthened with the disbursement of the first tranche associated with the IMF Extended Fund Facility, activation of the Saudi oil facility, and other commitments of support from multilateral and bilateral partners.

    The current account deficit has also continued to fall suggesting that external pressures continue to decline. On the other hand, the depreciation in the exchange rate since the last MPC has added to inflationary pressures.

    Finally, on the international front, the sentiment towards emerging markets has improved with greater expectations of a policy rate cut in the United States.

    The SBP said that domestic demand is estimated to moderate to about 3 percent in FY19 and GDP growth to 3.3 percent.

    While current high frequency indicators point to a slowing in economic activity, this is expected to turn around in the course of the year on the back of improved market sentiments in the context of IMF supported program, a rebound in the agriculture sector and the gradual impact of government incentives for export-oriented industries. Conditional upon the latest available information, SBP expect the real GDP growth of around 3.5 percent in FY20.

    External conditions show continued steady improvement with a sizeable reduction in the current account deficit which fell by 29.3 percent to US$ 12.7 billion in Jul-May FY19 as compared to US$ 17.9 billion during the same period last year.

    This improvement was primarily driven by import compression and healthy growth in workers’ remittances. Export volumes have been growing even though export values have remained subdued due to a fall in unit prices as also experienced by competitor exporting countries.

    Future developments in export performance will also depend on growth rates of our trading partners and progress in alleviating domestic structural impediments.

    SBP’s foreign exchange reserves have risen to about US$8 billion on 12th July 2019 with the disbursement of the first tranche of the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility.

    Reserves are expected to rise further in FY20 on account of additional financial inflows from other international creditors including those related to the Saudi oil facility and continued improvement in current account deficit.

    The bulk of the needed adjustment in the real effective exchange rate to address the past overhang of overvaluation has been completed with the recent deprecation of the exchange rate.

    While the exchange rate is flexible and market determined the SBP stands ready to take action to address disorderly market conditions in the foreign exchange market.

    Led by substantial shortfall in revenue collection, higher than budgeted interest payments and security related expenditures, both the overall fiscal and primary deficits deteriorated in FY19.

    The FY20 budget seeks to credibly reverse the recent trend of fiscal deterioration by addressing long-standing weaknesses in the taxation system and to enhance documentation of economic activities.

    On the back of an ambitious target for tax collection and tight control over expenditures, the budget envisaged a sizable reduction in primary deficit. This fiscal consolidation would support SBP’s stabilization policies already in place.

    From a monetary policy perspective, the government’s strong commitment to end its borrowing from the SBP, and the implementation of liability management operation to restructure the outstanding debt held by SBP, would positively contribute towards monetary policy transmission while credibly anchor markets’ inflation expectations going forward.

    Reflecting the impact of stabilization measures, private sector credit (PSC) growth has started to decelerate. PSC expanded 11.4 percent during 1st Jul – 28th Jun FY19 as compared to 14.8 percent during the same period last year.

    The deceleration in credit was more pronounced in real terms as the increase in PSC was largely driven by higher input prices, which in turn increased the working capital needs of the businesses. This, together with higher budgetary borrowing led to a sharp increase in the net domestic assets (NDA) of the banking system.

    In aggregate, broad money supply (M2) grew by 12.2 percent during 1st Jul – 28th Jun FY19 as compared to 10 percent during the comparable period last year.

    Going forward, the composition of money supply is expected to change as NFA of the banking system is projected to improve, while the growth in NDA is likely to show substantial moderation.

  • Rupee falls to Rs160.91 to dollar in interbank early trade

    Rupee falls to Rs160.91 to dollar in interbank early trade

    KARACHI: The Pak Rupee deteriorated by another Rs1.04 in early trade on Tuesday ahead of monetary policy announcement and pressure of import and corporate payments.

    The dollar is being traded at Rs160.91 in interbank foreign exchange market. The rupee closed yesterday at Rs159.87 to the dollar in foreign currency market.

    Currency experts said that due to rescheduled payment against foreign debt the demand for greenback was high.

    They further said that as rupee was also under pressure because by fiscal year end many multinational and foreign companies repatriated their profits.

    The local currency was remained under pressure for the last over one week due to weak economic indicators.

    The experts said that the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) is scheduled to announce monetary policy for next two months today.

    The analysts believe that the central bank may further increase key policy rate by 100 basis points to 13.25 percent as present policy rate of 12.25 percent.

    However, some relief was seen in easing trade deficit and decline of import bill by around 9 percent.

    The experts said that the policy to curb luxury and non-essential imports would help the local currency to show resilience against dollar.

  • Rupee falls by Rs1.07 via import, corporate payments

    Rupee falls by Rs1.07 via import, corporate payments

    KARACHI: The Pak Rupee weakened by Rs1.07 against dollar on Monday owing to demand for imports and corporate payments.

    The rupee ended Rs159.87 to the dollar as compared with last Friday’s closing of Rs158.80 in interbank foreign exchange market.

    The foreign currency market was initiated in the range of Rs159.00 and Rs159.40 to the dollar. The market recorded day high of Rs159.95 and low of Rs159.40 and closed at Rs159.87.

    Currency analysts said that the payment pressure had further weakened the rupee value.

    The exchange rate in open market also witnessed deterioration in rupee value. The buying and selling of dollar was recorded at Rs159.50/Rs160.50 as compared with previous closing of Rs158.70/Rs159.30 in cash ready market.

  • Analysts forecast 100bps increase in policy rate

    Analysts forecast 100bps increase in policy rate

    KARACHI: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) is scheduled to announce its monetary policy on July 16, 2019 (Tuesday) and analysts forecast central bank may increase key policy rate by another 100 basis points.

    Analysts at Arif Habib Limited said that the central bank to increase its policy rate by 100bps to 13.25 percent.

    “Primary reason for this increase in policy rate, in our view, is to keep Real Interest Rates positive in light of rising inflation during 1QFY20 on the back of increase in the prices of administered utilities (electricity and gas).”

    Average inflation for 1QFY20 is expected to settle at 12.11 percent, while a policy rate of 12.25 percent would imply a real interest rate of just 14bps.

    The data for the past 48 months exhibits that average real interest rates have remained approx. 2.3 percent, while under the last IMF program (September 2013 to September 2016) real interest rates hovered at an average of 3.1 percent.

    Therefore, it seems unlikely that the central bank would let the real interest rates go negative or below one percent. The staff report document also states that real interest rates would be kept positive to counter inflation.

    On the external front, persistent Current Account Deficit continues to weigh in on the economy despite a substantial decline in imports.

    For May 2019, CAD has declined by 47 percent YoY to USD1.1 billion. However, in terms of GDP it is still high at 5 percent.

    Therefore, in order to reduce this deficit to a sustainable level, the SBP is expected to increase its policy rate to compress demand further.

    In addition, with the advent of market determined exchange rate, a persistent Current Account Deficit might result in further weakness in exchange rate which might induce further inflation.

  • Rupee continues losing streak against dollar

    Rupee continues losing streak against dollar

    KARACHI: The Pak Rupee continued losing streak on Friday amid higher demand for import and corporate payments.

    The rupee ends 31 paisas to close at Rs158.80 to the dollar from previous day’s closing of Rs158.49 in interbank foreign exchange market.

    The foreign exchange market was initiated in the range of Rs158.40 and Rs158.70. The market witnessed day high of Rs158.90 and low of Rs158.50 and ended at 158.80.

    Currency experts said that the rupee fell during the entire week despite inflows of $994 million from IMF two days ago.

    The exchange rate also witnessed depreciation of the rupee in the open market. The buying and selling of dollar was recorded at Rs158.70/Rs159.30 from previous day’s close of Rs158.50/Rs159.50 in cash ready market.

  • SBP to announce monetary policy on July 16

    SBP to announce monetary policy on July 16

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) will announce key policy rate for next two months of July 16, 2019, a statement said on Friday.

    The SBP said that the Monetary Policy Committee of the central bank would meet on Tuesday, July 16, 2019 at SBP Head Office Karachi to decide the policy rate.

    In the previous monetary policy announced on May 20, 2019, the committee decided to increase the policy rate by 150 basis points to 12.25 percent effective from May 21,2019.

    The decision was taken into account the considerations and the evolving macroeconomic situation, the committee noted that further policy measures are required to address underlying inflationary pressures from (i) higher recent month-on-month headline and core inflation outturns; (ii) recent exchange rate depreciation; (iii) an elevated fiscal deficit and its increased monetization, and (iv) potential adjustments in utility tariffs.

    Analysts at Arif Habib Limited said that the SBP would adopt a proactive stance to increase its benchmark policy rate by 100 basis points in July 2019 to address the underlying pressure on the economy.

    In its report issued on June 28, the analysts said that in addition, monetary tightening is expected on the back of i) rising inflationary pressure due to increase in prices of petroleum products, essential food items and price revision of utilities, ii) an elevated fiscal deficit and its increased monetization, and iii) recent exchange rate depreciation.

  • SBP issues procedure for loans under PM’s Kamyab Jawan SME Lending Program

    SBP issues procedure for loans under PM’s Kamyab Jawan SME Lending Program

    KARACHI: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Thursday announced the official procedure for obtaining a loan under the Prime Minister’s Kamyab Jawan SME Lending Program, a flagship initiative aimed at empowering youth and small enterprises across the country.

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  • Rupee depreciates by 61 paisas in interbank

    Rupee depreciates by 61 paisas in interbank

    KARACHI: The Pak Rupee ended down by 61 paisas on Thursday owing to demand for import and corporate payments.

    The rupee closed at Rs158.49 to the dollar as compared with previous day’s closing of Rs157.88 in interbank foreign exchange market.

    The foreign currency market was initiated at Rs158.40 and Rs158.70 in interbank foreign exchange market.

    The market recorded day high of Rs158.60 and low of Rs158.20 and closed at Rs158.47.

    The exchange rate in open market also witnessed depreciation in rupee value. The buying and selling of dollar was recorded at Rs158.50/Rs159.50 from previous day’s closing of Rs157.50/Rs158.50 in cash ready market.