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  • Pakistan to decide petroleum prices effective from December 01, 2022

    Pakistan to decide petroleum prices effective from December 01, 2022

    Pakistan will decide petroleum prices on Wednesday November 30, 2022 for next fortnight starting from December 01, 2022.

    The country will revise the petroleum prices for the next fortnight amid sharp fall in international oil prices. However, on the other hand the depreciation in rupee value and imminent imposition of sales tax on petroleum products the benefit of decline in international oil prices may not pass on to domestic consumers.

    READ MORE: Pakistan may impose petroleum tax to avert revenue shortfall

    The benchmark Brent crude oil ended at $83.19 a barrel on November 28, 2022, having slumped more than 3 per cent to $80.61 earlier in the session for its lowest since January 4, 2022.

    The Brent crude has hit above $120 per barrel during mid-June this year and now fell to the present level leaving ample room to the present government to revise downward the prices to provide relief the domestic consumers.

    However, on the other side the government is considering to impose sales tax on petroleum products in order to satisfy International Monetary Fund (IMF) for upcoming talks, which were already delayed.

    Experts believed that the imposition of sales tax on petroleum products would increase the retail prices as well as result in high inflation.

    READ MORE: Petroleum prices in Pakistan for next 10 days; what next?

    At present the prices of petroleum products till November 30, 2022 are: price of petrol is Rs224.80 per liter; high speed diesel Rs235.30 per liter; kerosene oil Rs191.83; and light diesel oil Rs186.50 per liter.

    In the latest review on November 15, 2022 the government decided to keep the prices unchanged for the fortnight ending November 30, 2022.

    It was third straight announcement to keep the prices of petroleum products unchanged. Previously, on September 30, 2022 the government made changes in petroleum prices.

    Experts said that the rise in petroleum prices were imminent in the next review as the government was under immense pressure from the IMF to impose sales tax on petroleum products.

    At present the government adopted a policy to keep zero sales tax on petroleum products instead flat rate of 17 per cent. Furthermore, the government also committed to apply petroleum levy to generate more revenue for curtailing budget deficit.

    READ MORE: Petroleum prices in Pakistan for next fortnight effective from November 16, 2022

    Besides, the exchange rate is again showing a deterioration in rupee value against the dollar. The US dollar continued to make gain for seventh straight session against the Pakistani Rupee (PKR) on November 28, 2022 and reached PKR 223.95 in the interbank foreign exchange market.

    The latest import data showed that the petroleum prices were on the higher sides as the country spent more money for import of lesser quantity of petroleum products.

    The imports of petroleum products recorded a decline 1.75 per cent to $2.84 billion during July – October of fiscal year 2022/2023 as compared with $2.89 billion in the corresponding period of the last fiscal year.

    However, import of petroleum crude recorded an increase of 6.61 per cent to $1.73 billion during the period under review as compared with $1.62 billion in the corresponding period of the last fiscal year.

    READ MORE: Petroleum prices in Pakistan effective from November 01, 2022

    Interestingly, quantities of both the segments fell 34.43 per cent and 23.26 per cent during the first four months of the current fiscal year, showing surge in prices of the international prices.

    Although the present government has kept the prices during last three review under political pressure. But considering the present scenario of fiscal deficit and IMF pressure the government may take tough decision in coming days.

  • SBP withdraws NADRA Verisys for activation of dormant bank accounts

    SBP withdraws NADRA Verisys for activation of dormant bank accounts

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has abolished NADRA verisys for activation of dormant bank accounts.

    The central bank on Monday issued a circular to amend “ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING, COMBATING THE FINANCING OF TERRORISM & COUNTERING PROLIFERATION FINANCING (AML/ CFT/ CPF) REGULATIONS FOR STATE BANK OF PAKISTAN’S REGULATED ENTITIES (SBP-REs).”

    READ MORE: Pakistan rebuts reports of stopping payments to Google

    The FBR said that the amendments have been made in order to provide further clarity regarding dormancy requirements and to simplify the dormant account activation process.

    As per amended provisions, banks and other SBP regulated entities may activate the dormant account upon receipt of a formal request from the customer through any authenticated medium, including their mobile banking applications, internet banking portals, ATMs, call centers, surface mail, email, registered mobile or landline number, etc.

    Previously, the regulated entities were required to use the NADRA Verisys and a formal request (through postal address or email address or registered mobile number or landline number) for activation of dormant account by customers. “They should retain the NADRA Verisys for record keeping requirements (digitally or hard copy).”

    READ MORE: Pakistan repays $1.8 billion in November 2022: SBP

    NADRA Verisys is verification services of National Database Registration Authority and it facilitates verify NADRA’s issued identity document (CNIC, NICOP, POC, CRC and FRC).

    As per new amendments, the banks shall send prior notice to the account holder through any registered medium, e.g. SMS, email, etc. before marking the account as dormant. Notices shall be sent one (1) month, seven (7) days and one (1) day prior to marking the account as dormant.

    “Notice shall also include the account activation procedures/ channels,” according to the SBP.

    SBP REs may allow credit entries in dormant or inoperative accounts.

    Debit transactions/ withdrawals shall not be allowed until the account is activated.

    READ MORE: State Bank stuns market with massive policy rate hike

    However, transactions e.g. debits under the recovery of loans and markup etc., any permissible bank charges, government duties or levies and instruction issued under any law or from the court will not be subject to debit or withdrawal restriction.

    The SBP also revised definition of “Dormant or In-Operative Account”. According to prior amendment it was the account in which no transaction has taken place during the preceding one year.

    READ MORE: SBP raises benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 16pc

    The amended definition is: “Dormant or In-Operative Account” means the account in which no customer initiated transaction (debit or credit) or activity (e.g. login through digital channels) has taken place during the preceding one year.

  • Pakistan stocks nosedive by 865 points to react policy rate hike

    Pakistan stocks nosedive by 865 points to react policy rate hike

    KARACHI: Pakistan stocks nosedived by 865 points on Monday in a reaction to massive increase in key policy rate.

    The benchmark KSE-100 index of Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) fell to 41,071 points from last Friday’s closing of 42,936 points, showing a decline of 865 points.

    READ MORE: Weekly Review: investors may react to surprise policy rate hike

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on November 25, 2022 unexpectedly hiked the benchmark policy rate by 100 basis points to 16 per cent. It was first trading day at the PSX after the policy announcement which witnessed bloodbath session.

    “A bloodbath session was witnessed at the PSX during the day,” said analysts at Arif Habib Limited.

    “The State Bank of Pakistan unexpectedly raised interest rates by 100 basis points during the post-close session of the previous business day, shaking investors’ confidence,” they added.

    READ MORE: Stocks trade in narrow range on last day of week

    As anticipated the benchmark KSE-100 index opened in the negative zone and shed 973 points in the intraday. Investor participation remained active throughout the day, with 3rd tier stocks seeing the most activity.

    Sectors contributing to the performance include Cement (-204.7 points), E&P’s (-114.8 points), Commercial Banks (-110.1 points), Fertilizer (-78.4 points), Technology & Communication (-53.5 points).

    READ MORE: Pakistan stocks end flat amid political uncertainty

    Volumes increased from 177.3 million shares to 244.4 million shares (+37.8 per cent DoD). The average traded value also increased by 15.1 per cent to USD 31.1 million as against USD 27.0 million.

    Stocks that contributed significantly to the volumes are KEL, WTL, DFML, HASCOL, and CNERGY.

    READ MORE: Political uncertainty keeps Pakistan stocks range-bound

  • PKR ends stable to dollar amid repayment pressure

    PKR ends stable to dollar amid repayment pressure

    KARACHI: Pakistani Rupee (PKR) ended stable against the US dollar on Monday amid foreign currency demand pressure ahead of a major repayment to be made for Sukuk bonds.

    The exchange rate recorded one paisa decline in rupee value to end at PKR 223.95 to the dollar from last Friday’s close of PKR 223.95 in the interbank foreign exchange market.

    READ MORE: Rupee falls slightly to dollar amid foreign payment pressure

    Currency experts said that the tight monitoring of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to check the outflow kept the dollar demand in control.

    They said that the government is scheduled to repay around $1.08 billion against Sukuks in December 2022, which will pressure the exchange rate in coming days.

    Experts said that the increase in benchmark policy rate by 100 basis points to 16 per cent also discouraged the manufacturing sector to import raw material at high borrowing cost.

    They said that the SBP should be more vigilant were not enough as Pakistan’s external sector was facing huge challenges.

    READ MORE: PKR slumps to dollar amid SBP tight monitoring

    Latest investment data released by revealed the foreign direct investment plunged by 52 per cent in first four months of the current fiscal year.

    The current account deficit recorded contraction in the first four months of the current fiscal year it swelled when compared with the previous month.

    Pakistan needs foreign inflows on urgent basis to avoid balance of payment crisis. The foreign exchange reserves of Pakistan fell sharply during past few months making it difficult for the government to fulfill its foreign repayment commitments.

    READ MORE: Rupee fails to maintain recovery; dollar gains to PKR 223.81

    Foreign exchange (forex) reserves of Pakistan were at $13.796 billion by week ended November 11, 2022 as compared with $13.721 billion a week ago i.e. November 04, 2022.

    The country’s foreign exchange reserves hit all-time high of $27.228 billion on August 27, 2021. Since then the foreign exchange reserves have declined by $13.432 billion.

    The official foreign exchange reserves of the State Bank nominally increased by $3 million to 7.96 billion by week ended November 11, 2022 as compared with $7.957 billion a week ago.

    The foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank witnessed a record high at $20.146 billion by week ended August 27, 2021. Since then the official reserves of the SBP dropped by $12.185 billion.

    READ MORE: Rupee beats dollar after seven sessions to end at PKR 223.42

  • Another tax return filing date extension on the cards?

    Another tax return filing date extension on the cards?

    A large number of taxpayers have filed their income tax returns for tax year 2022. Yet many taxpayers are stuck up in a complicated calculation of income from property and unable to discharge their liability of return filing.

    The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has already extended the last date till November 30, 2022 for filing income tax return for tax year 2022. However, tax experts believe that the FBR should have to resolve the matter under Section 7E of Income Tax Ordinance, 2001 before setting deadline for return filing.

    The last date for filing income tax return was September 30, 2022 for all taxpayers except companies, which are required to file their returns up to December 31, 2022.

    However, through Circular No. 16 of 2022 and Circular No. 17 of 2022, the FBR granted date extension twice due to current flood situation in the country and request from various trade bodies and tax bar associations.

    Tax practitioners said that although the FBR had extended the date for return filing and resolved many issues pertaining to the return filing yet the taxpayers are facing problems related to calculation of deemed income under Section 7E of the Income Tax Ordinance, 2001.

    Interestingly, the FBR issued SRO 1955(I)/2022 on October 24, 2022 to amend Income Tax Rules, 2002 and made it mandatory for taxpayers to provide details pertaining to deemed income of immovable property along with the return for tax year 2022.

    Since many taxpayers had filed their income tax returns during July 01 – October 23 so the amendment deprived such taxpayers in providing the required details.

    In order to resolve the issue the FBR issued another SRO 2052(I)/2022 allowing to submit details of deemed income by those taxpayers, who filed their returns before October 24, 2022.

    The tax practitioners said that the FBR should have been allowed relaxation to all the taxpayers the mandatory requirement of deemed income detail. They said that it should be deferred for one year as many taxpayers may not able to fulfil the requirement.

    During his recent visit Karachi, FBR chairman Asim Ahmad had made it clear that no date extension would be granted further beyond November 30, 2022. He however assured the tax practitioners that all the issues pertaining to the return filing would be resolved. Furthermore, tax authorities promised to issue a clarification related to Section 7E.

    Tax practitioners said that so far no such clarification was issued and complications in this regard was also not resolved.

    A month ago, Karachi Tax Bar Association (KTBA) sent a letter to the FBR chairman highlighting many issues related to return filing. At present the issues pertaining to Section 7E still are creating hurdles in return filing.

    Following points raised by the KTBA:

    VALUE OF PROPERTIES for CALCULATION of DEEMED INCOME U/S. 7E

    The seventh and the last issue, which has remained unaddressed in the catena of issues highlighted by the KTBA is the issue of property values for the purpose of Section 7E of the Ordinance i.e. Deemed Income on Capital Assets.

    It is recalled that we stressed the need for incorporating the values given under the forty-two (42) notification (SROs) issued by the FBR in the month of March 2022 for property valuations under Section 68 of the Ordinance in the IRIS. It was recommended that those valuation tables were to be incorporated in the back end working of the income tax return in the IRIS after which the calculation of tax under Section 7E could be calculated automatically by the system, based on the description of property incorporated by the taxpayer in its wealth statement.

    It is re iterated that had this been done, it would ensure swift and correct computation of 20% tax on 5% value under Section 7E of the Ordinance and would avoid any standard deviation therefrom.

    A NEW 7E ANNEXURE:

    We would now like to invite your kind attention towards a “new set of requirement” which has been ventured in the IRIS and what now has become a bigger concern in context of Section 7E i,e, the new 7E Annexure. This annexure has lately been introduced in IRIS on 13th October 2022. We at the KTBA hold a considered view that it is unnecessarily a detailed format for a taxpayer or his advisor to fill and that too in these last days of tax returns filing.

    Uncalled for Details:

    The new annexure contains all the possible and imaginable categories of properties one could have. A basic list is being reproduced hereunder:

    Agricultural Property

    Commercial Property

    Industrial Property

    Residential Property

    Educational Property

    Health Property

    Natural Property

    Public Property

    Religious Property

    Mixed Use Property

    Your office would appreciate that apart from the first four (04) categories, the rest of the six (06) are not only unheard of in the domestic culture or tax laws of the country but these are not even owned by an individual in the first place. What is worrisome is that there are duplications and triplications to be filled in for the same property, which will surely give rise to issuance of uncalled for show cause notices by the department. The rational, therefore, needs to be thrashed out.

    Fields for Property Details:

    The Annexure incorporated vide SRO 1892 of 2022 dated 13th October 2022, with its fine details may have either been designed bespoke or borrowed from external source but only suitable to be made applicable where there is plenty of days and manhours left with to work on the same, not only fifteen (15) days and that too where these details do not add any value to the information.

    The details of properties which have been required to be filled in, are details consisting of the following, which, your office would acknowledge, are completely irrelevant for purpose of valuation of property under Section 68 of the Ordinance.

    Town Area of property

    Tehsil of Property

    Age of property

    These are superfluous fields which have been required to be filled without any impact but have been made mandatory fields as without filling which one cannot move forward in IRIS and cannot proceed to file return. This is a serious deterrence.

    Needless to mention that the size of the property and size of the built up or covered area with the name of City and location in the city are the only necessary data for valuation of property under the Ordinance as that is what is precisely needed not the town and tehsil, which is other as well is a cumbersome detail to be extracted.

    Details for Exempt Properties

    It also merits a mention that above cumbersome details have been required to be punched in even in cases where there would not arise any liability on account of Section 7E or where the properties of the taxpayer are exempted from the purview of the provision. We understand that submission of details of the following exempted properties should also be exempted, which will actually be a facilitation in filing of return at least for those who do not have to pay this 1% tax;

    Single self-owned property

    Self-owned business properties

    Self-owned agriculture land under cultivation

    Fair market value of property less than Rupees 25 Million

    Rented Properties

    Properties purchased during the year with tax deposited CPR under Section 236K.

    Valuations of Properties and Position of Valuation SROs

    As for the valuation tables and the valuation SROs, it is critical for us to apprise your office that picking up the value from the SROs is not as easy as has recently been spelt out by the FBR. There are altogether forty-two (42) notifications (SROs) for the purpose, which were issued in the month of March 2022.

    Out of these forty-two (42) SROs, twenty-eight (28) have been amended to date. Upon finding the applicable SRO for any city the portal provides you with the latest one. One consequently would need to search and recheck for the older SRO once again on the website. This is certainly time taking and painstaking exercise.

    Secondly if a certain SRO has been amended, there is no amended SRO available in the cache, consequent to which the propensity to commit an error by taking the valuation from the older SRO gets certain.

    In order to avoid such an impending consequence, the FBR should provide the final amended SRO of valuation failing to which the taxpayer will have to keep switching from older SRO to amended SRO or will commit the suspected error. This goes without saying as how much time consuming this exercise can become besides being tedious and painstaking.

    Size of Notifications

    It should not loose the sight of the regulator that apart from the amended Notifications, there are few SROs, which are unusually lengthy and detailed. This makes the job of the taxpayers even more arduous to keep sifting the pages to find for the precise location of his property therein. It would be worthwhile to enlist hereunder few of these:

    Bahawalnagar is of 191 pages

    Bahawalpur is of 51 pages

    Multan is of 4,593 pages

    Faisalabad is of 4,712 pages

    DG Khan is of 4,722 pages

    Quetta is of 28 pages

    Lahore is of 31 pages

    The above have been quoted for giving few instances as to the ordeal your taxpayer will have to go through for filing your requirements, which is by any stretch of rational thinking is unwarranted.

    Timing of Introduction of 7E Annexure:

    And all of this has fallen due merely in the last fifteen days of October. Your office would appreciate that the timing of introduction of the 7E Annexure requires reconsideration. The Tax Return and their other Annexure were though introduced withing the legal time frame on June 30, however, the 7E Annexure was introduced on September 3rd, 2022, vide SRO 1829 of 2022 in draft form and finalized and uploaded on IRIS just after 10 days on Sep 13th, 2022 vide SRO 1891 of 2022. This is not less than three and a Half (3.5) months late.

    REQUEST FOR A TUTORIAL AND DEMO PRESENTATION

    Based on the forgoing it would be appropriate for us at the Bar to place genuine request in your office to kindly direct either the field formation or the relevant IT team to prepare at least a tutorial or to say a Demo Presentation for the basic level assistance of the taxpayers. The same can be placed on the website.

    It seems even more appropriate for the purpose of better appreciation of all issues in true spirit and to develop a harmonized approach to suggest that a joint meeting (physical or online) between the representatives of KTBA and FBR’s Policy, Legal, IT/PRAL Divisions should be fixed.  We, at KTBA, will be glad to assist the FBR’s technical team and join hand for the earliest resolution of the issues. 

    The KTBA said that neither taxpayer nor tax consultants will be able to complete this task within the given time. It is a trite law that whenever there is an SRO issued and finalized, due course of time should be available as per law and if there is made any further amendment, a new SRO has to be issued by giving the taxpayer a reasonable time as stipulated under the law.

  • Supreme Court discourages taxpayers seeking relief in show cause notices

    Supreme Court discourages taxpayers seeking relief in show cause notices

    Supreme Court of Pakistan (SCP) in a landmark judgment dated September 30, 2022 stopped the practice of taxpayers approaching courts for legal remedy in those cases where only show cause notices are issued provided no coercive action has been taken by tax authorities.

    In a civil petition No. 1693-L of 2022, three-member bench comprising Justice Qazi Faez Isa, Justic Yahya Afridi and Justice Jamal Khan Mandokhail, the Commissioner Inland Revenue, Lahore as petitioner pleaded the apex court to set aside the judgment of Lahore High Court in writ petition No. 64… of 2021.

    READ MORE: Member Customs assures swift clearance of export consignments

    The council of the petitioner submitted that no order had been passed by the Inland Revenue against the taxpayer (respondent). The council further apprised the court that only a show cause notice (dated October 01, 2021) was issued, which the taxpayer assailed before the high court and did no, without even filing a reply to the said show cause notice.

    The council of the petitioner stated that taxpayer was not an aggrieved party under Article 199 of the Constitution of Pakistan. The article can only be invoked when ‘no other adequate remedy is provided by law’, but in the instant case there was a remedy provided by law in case an order was passed against him (taxpayer).

    READ MORE: FTO urges business community to lodge complaints for tax issues

    The council for the taxpayer contented that the tax office issued the show cause in complete violation of the applicable procedure. This was the reason that taxpayer approached the high court. The council further declared the show cause as discriminatory.

    Justice Qazi Faez Isa, wrote the order and disposed of the petition with following remarks:

    “Inland Revenue may proceed on the basis of the show cause notice dated October 01, 2022 or substitute such notice with another, if it so deems necessary, however, in either eventually adequate time will be provided to the respondent No. 1 [taxpayer] to file a reply thereto, if he elects to do so, wherein he may take all available grounds including the ground of discrimination and an opportunity of a hearing shall also be provided to him whereafter the matter shall be disposed of in accordance with the law.”

    READ MORE: Business community welcomes appointment of new Army chief

    According to the order, the petition was converted into an appeal and allowed by setting aside the impugned judgment of the high court dated February 28, 2022 and by directing that the matter be dealt with in the aforesaid agreed terms in accordance with the law.

    The judgment of the apex court will help the tax officials to continue proceedings against taxpayers under relevant tax laws. It has become observed in many cases that taxpayers approach court where only show cause notices were issued and no further action was taken under the tax law.

    READ MORE: APTMA demands restoring controversial SRO for sales tax refunds

  • Pakistan rebuts reports of stopping payments to Google

    Pakistan rebuts reports of stopping payments to Google

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Saturday strongly rebutted the reports that it has stopped the payments to Google.

    Certain media has reported that Google PlayStore would not be available from December 01, 2022 due to the central bank had stopped payment to Google apps.

    READ MORE: Price, specs of Samsung Galaxy Z Flip 4 in Pakistan

    The SBP in a statement said recent news circulating in some sections of the media that certain payments to Google are stuck at SBP, are baseless and misleading. “SBP strongly refutes all such assertions.”

    The fact is that in order to facilitate the domestic entities, SBP specified certain Information Technology (IT) related services, which such entities can acquire from abroad for their own use and make foreign exchange payments there against up to $ 100,000 per invoice. Such services include, Satellite Transponder, International Bandwidth/ Internet/ Private Line Services, Software License/Maintenance/Support, and service to use electronic media and databases.

    READ MORE: Climate Change: A pandemic we must collectively address now

    Entities desirous of utilizing this option designate a bank, which is approved by SBP one time. Subsequently, after designation, such payments can be processed through the designated bank, without any further regulatory approval.

    However, during recent off-site reviews, it was observed that in addition to utilizing the aforesaid mechanism to remit funds for IT related services for their own use, Telcos were remitting bulk of the funds for video gaming, entertainment content, etc. purchased by their customers using airtime, under Direct Carrier Billing (DCB).

    READ MORE: Twitter shuts offices temporarily on backlash fear

    DCB is, in general, an online mobile payment method, which allows users to make purchases by charging payments to their mobile phone carrier bill. The Telcos were allowing their customers to purchase above mentioned products through airtime and then remitting funds abroad reflecting such transactions as payments for acquisition of IT related services. Thus, in effect the Telcos were acting as intermediaries/ payment aggregators by facilitating acquisition of services by their subscribers.

    Therefore, in view of the violation of foreign exchange regulations, SBP revoked the designation of banks of Telcos for such payments. However, to facilitate their legitimate IT related payments, Telcos have been advised through their banks to resubmit their requests.

    READ MORE: Dun & Bradstreet data cloud crosses 500 million records

    If any entity, including a telco, intends to operate as an intermediary/payment aggregator and such arrangement involves outflow of foreign exchange, it has to approach SBP, separately through its bank, for seeking special permission for providing such services under the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act, 1947.

  • Pakistan may impose petroleum tax to avert revenue shortfall

    Pakistan may impose petroleum tax to avert revenue shortfall

    ISLAMABAD: Pakistan likely to impose tax on petroleum products to avert imminent shortfall in revenue collection.

    Reports suggested that the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) – the apex tax collecting agency of the country – is anticipating massive revenue shortfall in coming months due to no tax on petroleum products besides slowdown in economic activity.

    Reportedly, the FBR may face about Rs500 billion as shortfall in the current fiscal year.

    After the first quarter (July – September) 2022/2023, the FBR claimed to present extraordinary performance in revenue collection. “This performance in revenue collection is despite zero rating of Sales Tax on POL products, import compression and the prevailing situation of floods,” the FBR said in a press release.

    READ MORE: Petroleum prices in Pakistan for next 10 days; what next?

    Experts believed that the imposition of sales tax on petroleum products would increase the retail prices as well as result in high inflation.

    At present the prices of petroleum products till November 30, 2022 are: price of petrol is Rs224.80 per liter; high speed diesel Rs235.30 per liter; kerosene oil Rs191.83; and light diesel oil Rs186.50 per liter.

    In the latest review on November 15, 2022 the government decided to keep the prices unchanged for the fortnight ending November 30, 2022.

    It was third straight announcement to keep the prices of petroleum products unchanged. Previously, on September 30, 2022 the government made changes in petroleum prices.

    Experts said that the rise in petroleum prices were imminent in the next review as the government was under immense pressure from the IMF to impose sales tax on petroleum products.

    At present the government adopted a policy to keep zero sales tax on petroleum products instead flat rate of 17 per cent. Furthermore, the government also committed to apply petroleum levy to generate more revenue for curtailing budget deficit.

    READ MORE: Petroleum prices in Pakistan for next fortnight effective from November 16, 2022

    Besides, the exchange rate is again showing a deterioration in rupee value against the dollar. The US dollar continued to make gain for seventh straight session against the Pakistani Rupee (PKR) on November 25, 2022 and reached PKR 223.94 in the interbank foreign exchange market.

    The latest import data showed that the petroleum prices were on the higher sides as the country spent more money for import of lesser quantity of petroleum products.

    The imports of petroleum products recorded a decline 1.75 per cent to $2.84 billion during July – October of fiscal year 2022/2023 as compared with $2.89 billion in the corresponding period of the last fiscal year.

    However, import of petroleum crude recorded an increase of 6.61 per cent to $1.73 billion during the period under review as compared with $1.62 billion in the corresponding period of the last fiscal year.

    Interestingly, quantities of both the segments fell 34.43 per cent and 23.26 per cent during the first four months of the current fiscal year, showing surge in prices of the international prices.

    Although the present government has kept the prices during last three review under political pressure. But considering the present scenario of fiscal deficit and IMF pressure the government may take tough decision in coming days.

    READ MORE: Petroleum prices in Pakistan effective from November 01, 2022

  • SBP raises benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 16pc

    SBP raises benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 16pc

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Friday raised the benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 16 per cent owing to inflationary pressure and risks to financial stability.

    The SBP said that the monetary policy committee in its meeting on November 25, 2022 decided to raise the policy rate by 100 basis points to 16 per cent.

    This decision reflects the MPC’s view that inflationary pressures have proven to be stronger and more persistent than expected. It is aimed at ensuring that elevated inflation does not become entrenched and that risks to financial stability are contained, thus paving the way for higher growth on a more sustainable basis.

    READ MORE: SBP keeps policy rate unchanged at 15% amid economic deceleration

    Amid the on-going economic slowdown, inflation is increasingly being driven by persistent global and domestic supply shocks that are raising costs. In turn, these shocks are spilling over into broader prices and wages, which could de-anchor inflation expectations and undermine medium-term growth. As a result, the rise in cost-push inflation cannot be overlooked and necessitates a monetary policy response.

    The MPC noted that the short-term costs of bringing inflation down are lower than the long-term costs of allowing it to become entrenched. At the same time, curbing food inflation through administrative measures to resolve supply-chain bottlenecks and any necessary imports remains a high priority.

    READ MORE: SBP keeps benchmark rate unchanged at 15% amid rising inflation

    Since the last meeting, the MPC noted three key domestic developments. First, headline inflation increased sharply in October, as the previous month’s administrative cut to electricity prices was unwound. Food prices have also accelerated significantly due to crop damage from the recent floods, and core inflation has risen further.

    Second, a sharp decline in imports led to a significant moderation in the current account deficit in both September and October. Despite this moderation and fresh funding from the ADB, external account challenges persist. Third, after incorporating the Post-Disaster Needs Assessment of the floods and latest developments, the FY23 projections for growth of around 2 percent and a current account deficit of around 3 percent of GDP shared in the last monetary policy statement are re-affirmed. However, higher food prices and core inflation are now expected to push average FY23 inflation up to 21-23 percent.

    READ MORE: Poll sees no policy rate change in August 22, 2022 meeting

    Economic activity has continued to moderate since the last MPC meeting on account of transient disruptions from floods and on-going policy and administrative measures. In October, most demand indicators showed double-digit contraction on a yearly basis—including sales of cement, POL, and automobiles.

    On the supply side, electricity generation declined for the fifth consecutive month, falling by 5.2 percent (y/y). In the first quarter of FY23, LSM production was flat relative to last year, with only export-oriented sectors contributing positively. In agriculture, latest estimates suggest sizeable output losses to rice and cotton crops from the floods which, together with tepid growth in manufacturing and construction, will weigh on growth this year.

    READ MORE: Pakistan hikes key policy rate by 125 basis points to 15%

    The current account deficit continued to moderate during both September and October, reaching $0.4 and $0.6 billion, respectively. Cumulatively, the current account deficit during the first four months of FY23 fell to $2.8 billion, almost half the level during the same period last year. This improvement was mainly driven by a broad-based 11.6 percent fall in imports to $20.6 billion, with exports increasing by 2.6 percent to $9.8 billion.

    On the other hand, remittances fell by 8.6 percent to $9.9 billion, reflecting a widening gap between the interbank and open market exchange rate, normalization of travel and US dollar strengthening. On the financing side, inflows are being negatively affected by domestic uncertainty and tightening global financial conditions as major central banks continue to raise policy rates. The financial account recorded a net inflow of $1.9 billion during the first four months of FY23, compared to $5.7 billion during the same period last year. Looking ahead, higher imports of cotton and lower exports of rice and textiles in the aftermath of the floods should be broadly offset by a continued moderation in overall imports due to the economic slowdown and softer global commodity prices.

    As a result, the current account deficit is expected to remain moderate in FY23, with FX reserves gradually improving as anticipated external inflows from bilateral and multilateral sources materialize. If the recent decline in global oil prices intensifies or the pace of rate hikes by major central banks slows, pressures on the external account could diminish further.

    Despite the budgeted consolidation for FY23, fiscal outcomes deteriorated in Q1 relative to the same period last year. The fiscal deficit increased from 0.7 to 1 percent of GDP, with the primary surplus declining from 0.3 to 0.2 percent of GDP.

    This deterioration was largely due to a decline in non-tax revenues and higher interest payments. At the same time, growth in FBR tax revenues more than halved to 16.6 percent during the first four months of FY23. In response to the floods, the government has implemented a number of relief measures for the agriculture sector, including mark-up subsidies for farmers and the provision of subsidized inputs.

    The floods could make it challenging to achieve the aggressive fiscal consolidation budgeted for this year, but it is important to minimize slippages by meeting additional spending needs largely through expenditure re-allocation and foreign grants, while limiting transfers only to the most vulnerable.

    Maintaining fiscal discipline is needed to complement monetary tightening, which would together help prevent an entrenchment of inflation and lower external vulnerabilities. 

    In line with the slowdown in economic activity, private sector credit continued to moderate, increasing only by Rs86.2 billion during Q1 compared to Rs226.4 billion during the same period last year

    This deceleration was mainly due to a significant decline in working capital loans to wholesale and retail trade services as well as to the textile sector in the wake of lower domestic cotton output, and a slowdown in consumer finance.

    Headline inflation rose by almost 3½ percentage points in October to 26.6 percent (y/y), driven by a normalization of fuel cost adjustments in electricity tariffs and rising prices of food items. Energy and food prices rose by 35.2 and 35.7 percent (y/y), respectively. Meanwhile, core inflation increased further to 18.2 and 14.9 percent (y/y) in rural and urban areas respectively, as rising food and energy inflation seeped into broader prices, wages and inflation expectations.

    The momentum of inflation also picked up sharply, rising by 4.7 percent (m/m). As a result of these developments, inflation projections for FY23 have been revised upwards. While inflation is likely to be more persistent than previously anticipated, it is still expected to fall toward the upper range of the 5-7 percent medium-term target by the end of FY24, supported by prudent macroeconomic policies, orderly Rupee movement, normalizing global commodity prices and beneficial base effects.

    The MPC will continue to carefully monitor developments affecting medium-term prospects for inflation, financial stability, and growth.

  • Tax cases involving Rs2,612 billion stuck up in litigation: FBR

    Tax cases involving Rs2,612 billion stuck up in litigation: FBR

    ISLAMABAD: Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) on Thursday said that around 88,317 cases involving Rs2,612 billion were stuck up and pending with different courts.

    The latest date is based on October 31, 2022.

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    Among these pending cases, 75,021 cases involving Rs2,382 billion are related to Inland Revenue Service whereas 13,296 cases involving Rs229.7 billion are to the Customs department, according to break up figures, as on October 31, 2022. Out of the Inland Revenue cases, 5,386 cases involving Rs 370 billion are pending in Lahore High Court whereas 3,271 cases of Rs 95 billion are with the Supreme Court of Pakistan.

    READ MORE: FTO directs country-wide crackdown against smuggled vehicles

    Likewise, 2,580 cases of Rs 212 billion are with Sindh High Court, 1,095 cases of Rs 180 billion in Islamabad High Court, 380 cases of Rs 9 billion in Peshawar High Court whereas 62,298 cases of Rs 1513 billion were pending with Appellate Tribunal.

    On the other hand, among the Customs cases, 203 of Rs1.4 billion related are pending with Islamabad High Court whereas 5,468 cases of Rs 145.8 billion are with the Sindh High court.

    READ MORE: FTO directs stop unlawful recovery from taxpayers’ bank accounts

    Similarly, 548 cases of Rs 5.2 billion are pending with Lahore High Court, 676 cases of Rs 2 billion in Peshawar High Court and 58 cases involving Rs2.5 billion in Baluchistan High Court whereas, 4,911 cases of Rs72.7 billion were pending in Appellate Tribunal Customs.

    It is pertinent to mention here that the Senate Standing Committee of Finance and Revenue in its recent meeting held on November 23 had given the FBR fifteen days to submit the details of cases pending in various courts of the country.

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    The Chairman of the committee, Senator Saleem Mandviwala had expressed concern over the delay in tax cases which he said was causing huge revenue losses. He had asked the finance ministry to analyze these cases and bring out the reasons for the delay in decision.