ISLAMABAD – August 13, 2025 – The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has forecast a significant intensification of moist currents from the Bay of Bengal beginning next week, likely bringing widespread rain, wind, and thundershowers across much of the country.
According to the PMD, these currents, combined with ongoing monsoon activity from the Arabian Sea, will gain strength from August 17, enhancing rainfall patterns in multiple provinces. A westerly wave currently affecting upper regions is also expected to strengthen in the same period.
From August 14 to 17, intermittent rain-wind/thundershowers with scattered heavy falls are expected in Islamabad, Kashmir, upper Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), and Gilgit-Baltistan. The real surge in precipitation is anticipated from August 18 to 21 as moist currents from the Bay of Bengal deepen their influence.
Regional Forecasts:
• Kashmir & Gilgit-Baltistan: Widespread rain with scattered heavy falls in Neelum Valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, and other districts. Gilgit, Hunza, Skardu, and surrounding areas will also see rainfall with occasional heavy spells.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Widespread rain in Dir, Swat, Kohistan, Mansehra, Abbottabad, and adjoining districts; isolated heavy falls in Bannu, Lakki Marwat, and Dera Ismail Khan.
• Punjab & Islamabad: Heavy to very heavy rainfall in Murree, Galliyat, Lahore, Sialkot, Faisalabad, and adjoining regions. Southern Punjab districts such as Multan, Bahawalpur, and Rahimyar Khan will also receive scattered showers.
• Balochistan: Isolated heavy falls expected in Barkhan, Zhob, Khuzdar, Lasbela, Gwadar, and Panjgur from August 18 to 22.
• Sindh: Showers likely in Karachi, Hyderabad, Sukkur, Larkana, and Tharparkar with occasional heavy falls.
Potential Impacts:
The PMD warns that heavy rains could cause flash floods in local streams of Chitral, Swat, Murree, and parts of northeast Punjab. Hill torrents in Dera Ghazi Khan and eastern Balochistan may also swell rapidly during the active phase of the moist currents from the Bay of Bengal. Urban flooding is possible in low-lying areas of major cities, while landslides could disrupt road links in hilly terrain.
Strong winds, lightning, and heavy downpours may damage vulnerable infrastructure, electric poles, and billboards. Residents, travelers, and tourists are urged to remain cautious, avoid unnecessary exposure to hazardous areas, and stay informed through official weather updates. All relevant authorities have been advised to remain on high alert and take preventive measures to minimize risks during this active monsoon spell driven by the Bay of Bengal moisture surge.