NZ vs PAK: Pakistan, New Zealand Win Probability in Second ODI

NZ vs PAK: Pakistan, New Zealand Win Probability in Second ODI

Hamilton, April 1, 2025 – Pakistan and New Zealand are gearing up for the crucial second One-Day International (ODI) of their three-match series, set to take place at Seddon Park, Hamilton, on April 2, 2025.

This match holds significant importance for Pakistan, as they must win to keep their hopes alive after New Zealand claimed victory in the series opener.

According to the latest predictions, New Zealand holds a 58% win probability in the second ODI, owing to their impressive performance in the first game. Pakistan, however, will be desperate to turn the tide and level the series, keeping their aspirations intact as they head towards the third and final ODI.

The ODI series has been an intense battle between Pakistan and New Zealand, with the first match delivering a thrilling contest. Mark Chapman’s spectacular 132-run knock propelled New Zealand to a formidable total of 344, laying the groundwork for a commanding win. Contributions from Daryl Mitchell and debutant Muhammad Abbas further solidified their position. However, New Zealand will be missing Will Young for the remainder of the series, as he awaits the birth of his child. His absence has led to the inclusion of right-handed batter Rhys Mariu, who is set to make his ODI debut in Hamilton.

On the bowling front, Nathan Smith was the standout performer for New Zealand in the first ODI, claiming four wickets in a disciplined display. With momentum on their side, Michael Bracewell’s squad is likely to stick with the same winning combination. If they manage to seal the ODI series in Hamilton, fringe players like Ben Sears and Adithya Ashok may get a chance in the third match.

Pakistan, on the other hand, must address their shortcomings from the first ODI, particularly in their bowling department. Their decision to go with only four frontline bowlers and no specialist spinner proved costly. To bolster their attack, Pakistan may turn to spin options such as Abrar Ahmed or Sufiyan Muqeem. Additionally, they face a setback in the batting lineup, as Usman Khan has been ruled out of the second ODI due to a hamstring injury, with Imam-ul-Haq expected to replace him.

As Pakistan fights to stay in contention, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Can New Zealand wrap up the series in Hamilton, or will Pakistan mount a comeback to set up a thrilling decider in Mount Maunganui? The second ODI promises to be a gripping encounter as both teams battle for supremacy.