NZ vs SL: Win Probability in New Zealand, Sri Lanka Final T20I

Sri Lanka cricket

The third and final T20I between New Zealand and Sri Lanka is set to take place on January 2, 2024. New Zealand currently holds a commanding 2-0 lead in the three-match T20I series, showcasing their dominance throughout the contests.

The win probability heavily favors New Zealand at 65%, owing to their recent stellar performances. However, Sri Lanka will be determined to avoid a clean sweep and salvage some pride in the series finale.

In the second T20I held on Monday, New Zealand secured a decisive 45-run victory. After posting a challenging total of 186-5, they bowled Sri Lanka out for 141 in just 19.1 overs. This win followed a nail-biting first match where New Zealand edged past Sri Lanka by a narrow margin of eight runs.

Jacob Duffy has been the linchpin of New Zealand’s bowling attack, delivering match-winning performances in both games. In the second T20I, Duffy’s brilliant 4-15 dismantled Sri Lanka’s batting lineup. His spell included the crucial dismissals of Pathum Nissanka (37) and Kusal Perera (48). A pivotal moment came in the 16th over when a sensational yorker dismissed Perera, who appeared set to turn the tide for Sri Lanka. Duffy’s double strike in the 18th over, removing Wanindu Hasaranga and Maheesh Theekshana, left the visitors’ tailenders with little chance of recovery.

New Zealand’s batting has also been a standout feature. In the second T20I, Tim Robinson’s aggressive 41 off 34 balls laid the foundation, while Mark Chapman’s 42 off 29 added stability. Daryl Mitchell’s explosive unbeaten 41 off 19 balls at the death, featuring four boundaries and two sixes, propelled New Zealand to a formidable total. The first T20I witnessed a crucial century partnership between Mitchell and Michael Bracewell, ensuring a competitive score.

Despite some individual brilliance, Sri Lanka’s batting has crumbled under pressure. Pathum Nissanka’s 96 in the first match and Kusal Perera’s 48 in the second were commendable efforts, but the team’s inability to build partnerships has cost them dearly.

As the series concludes, New Zealand will aim to maintain their dominance, while Sri Lanka seeks a consolation win. The series has showcased New Zealand’s clinical performance in both batting and bowling, promising an exciting finale.