Although Pakistan have already secured the three-match One-Day International (ODI) series with a commanding 2-0 lead, the win probability for the third and final ODI on Sunday, December 22, 2024, leans in favor of South Africa.
The win probability calculator estimates a 58% chance for South Africa to triumph, bolstered by their home-ground advantage and favorable weather conditions. Nevertheless, Pakistan’s chances stand at a solid 42%, reflecting their recent form and momentum.
Having clinched the series, Pakistan is now eyeing a clean sweep, while South Africa is desperate to avoid the ignominy of a whitewash. The first two ODIs highlighted Pakistan’s dominance, with the second match on Thursday proving especially emphatic. Pakistan’s 81-run victory underscored their all-round strength, leaving South Africa searching for answers.
In the second ODI, South Africa’s decision to bowl first after winning the toss backfired, as Pakistan amassed an imposing total of 329 runs in 49.5 overs. Mohammad Rizwan led from the front with a composed 80, while Babar Azam’s sublime 73 anchored the innings. Kamran Ghulam’s explosive 63 off just 32 balls during the death overs added a decisive flourish, ensuring South Africa faced a daunting chase.
On the bowling side, South Africa’s Kwena Maphaka delivered an impressive performance, taking four wickets, while Marco Jansen supported with three. However, their efforts were overshadowed by Pakistan’s relentless batting.
In response, South Africa’s batting lineup faltered early, losing wickets at regular intervals. Heinrich Klaasen put up a valiant fight with a scintillating 97, but he found little support from his teammates. Contributions from Tony de Zorzi (34) and David Miller (29) were insufficient as South Africa fell short, managing only 248 runs in 43.1 overs. Pakistan’s Shaheen Shah Afridi and Naseem Shah were exceptional with the ball, claiming four and three wickets, respectively, and dismantling South Africa’s batting order with precision.
Heading into the final ODI, Pakistan will aim to close the series on a high note with a historic clean sweep. Meanwhile, South Africa will be eager to reclaim their pride and end the series with a consolation victory. Cricket enthusiasts can expect an intense contest as both teams seek to leave their mark on the final game.