Tag: SBP

  • SBP issues revised instructions for foreign currency dealings

    SBP issues revised instructions for foreign currency dealings

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has amended Foreign Exchange Manual and issued revised Chapter 11 of the manual related to dealings in foreign currency notes and coins etc. by the authorized dealers including banks and exchange companies.

    Following is the revised chapter 11 issued by the SBP dated July 16, 2019:

    1. Introduction.

    Authorized Dealer’s license to deal in foreign exchange includes an authorization to deal in foreign currency notes and coins as well. In addition to Authorized Dealers, the State Bank has granted licenses to Exchange Companies and issued restricted authorizations to selected hotels to deal in foreign currency notes and coins etc. as per the scope of business mentioned in their licenses/authorizations.

    This chapter sets out the regulations which govern the purchase and sale of foreign currency by the Authorized Dealers.

    2. Purchase of foreign currency notes from the public.

    All incoming persons, whether Pakistani or foreign national, can bring with them without any limit foreign currencies and other instruments against the submission of a declaration to the Customs authorities on amount exceeding US$ 10,000 or equivalent in terms of SBP Notification No. F.E.1/2012-SB dated the 16th June, 2012, wherever applicable.

    Such currencies/instruments may be freely purchased by the Authorized Dealers against payment in PKR. Authorized Dealers may also purchase foreign currencies withdrawn by the account holders from their foreign currency accounts and from the walk-in-customer against payment in PKR subject to fulfillment of applicable AML/CFT regulations/guidelines issued by the State Bank.

    Authorized Dealers should issue a certificate of currency encashment on the prescribed form (Appendix V-9).

    In cases where the foreign currency offered for sale by a traveller had been originally obtained from an Authorized Dealer, the repurchase should be endorsed on the traveller’s passport in the case of Pakistan nationals only.

    3. Purchase of foreign currency notes and coins etc. from other Authorized Dealers, Exchange Companies and Hotels.

    Authorized Dealers may also purchase foreign currency notes, coins and other instruments freely from other Authorized Dealers, Exchange Companies and hotels licensed/authorized by the State Bank.

    4. Disposal of non-convertible currency notes.

    Many countries have restrictions on import of their own currency notes and do not allow their repatriation through banking system. Surplus collection of such foreign currency notes can be disposed of in the international centres at market rates.

    Authorized Dealers should arrange with their overseas branches or correspondents to keep them fully informed of such restrictions on such currencies’ import, repatriation and also about demonetization, currency re-organization etc. in foreign countries. Such information may also be passed on by the Authorized Dealers to those Exchange Companies/hotels which are their customers.

    5. Availability of adequate stock of foreign currency notes with the Authorized Dealers.

    It is the responsibility of Authorized Dealers to ensure that adequate stocks of foreign currency notes are available with their authorized branches at all times for meeting the requirements of their customers.

    For this purpose, Authorized Dealers may replenish their stocks of foreign currency notes either by purchasing the same from other Authorized Dealers/Exchange Companies or by importing them from their overseas branches and correspondents.

    6 Ensuring quality of foreign currency notes.

    In order to ensure provision of good quality notes to the public, Authorized Dealers should avoid stapling of foreign currency notes and deliver the same from their counters in unstapled condition with proper banding of note packets, if so required.

    7. Sale of foreign currency notes to the public.

    Authorized Dealers may sell foreign currency notes to persons proceeding abroad within the amount of foreign exchange allowed through special permission by the State Bank or under the authority delegated to them in Chapter 17 subject to compliance of the related provisions.

    8. Sale of foreign currency notes and coins etc. to other Authorized Dealers.

    Authorized Dealers may freely sell foreign currency notes, coins and other instruments to other Authorized Dealers.

    9. Disposal of surplus foreign currency notes.

    When Authorized Dealers are unable to dispose of their holdings of foreign currency notes by sale to the public or other Authorized Dealers, they may dispose of the same by receiving credit thereagainst in their Nostro accounts as per the following:

    i) By exporting surplus foreign currency notes to their branches, correspondents or agents abroad.

    ii) By selling surplus foreign currency notes to the Exchange Companies operating in Pakistan.

    10. Acceptance of surplus foreign currency notes by SBP-Banking Services Corporation from the Authorized Dealers.

    Authorized Dealers are also allowed to sell their surplus foreign currency notes (US Dollar, UK Pound Sterling, Euro and UAE Dirham) to SBP–Banking Services Corporation, Karachi Office as per the following procedure:

    i. Authorized Dealers having above-mentioned surplus foreign currencies will approach the SBP-Banking Services Corporation, Karachi Office.

    ii. Packets of foreign currency notes (100 pieces) only in the denomination of 50 and above will be acceptable.

    iii. The packets will be opened and notes will be counted by the staff of SBP – Banking Services Corporation, Karachi Office in the presence of the representative of the concerned Authorized Dealer.

    iv. Counted currency notes will be re-packed and sealed under the joint signatures of representatives of the concerned Authorized Dealer and official of SBP-Banking Services Corporation, Karachi Office.

    v. The Authorized Dealer will remain responsible for any forged/counterfeit notes, if found subsequently in the deposited currency.

    vi. SBP will provide credit of the counter value in the Nostro Account of the AD in the same value date, on confirmation of balances from SBP-Banking Services Corporation, Karachi Office.

    11. Provision of foreign currency notes by SBP-Banking Services Corporation to the Authorized Dealers.

    Authorized Dealers may purchase foreign currency notes from SBP-Banking Services Corporation, Karachi Office after giving credit of counter value in SBP’s Nostro account in the respective currency.

    SBP-Banking Services Corporation, Karachi Office will provide foreign currency notes to the Authorized Dealer on having confirmation from the State Bank to the above effect.

  • Foreign exchange reserves increase to $15.249 billion

    Foreign exchange reserves increase to $15.249 billion

    KARACHI: The total liquid foreign exchange reserves of the country increased by $990 million to $15.249 billion by week ended July 12, 2019 as compared with $14.259 billion a week ago, State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said on Thursday.

    The official reserves of the SBP increased by $918 million to $8 billion during the week under review as compared with $7.083 billion in the preceding week. The central bank said that the official reserves were increased due to inflows of $991.4 million from International Monetary Fund (IMF) as first tranche of $6 billion extended fund facility for Pakistan.

    The reserves held by commercial banks also increased by $73 million to $7.248 billion by week under review as compared with $7.175 billion in the preceding week.

  • SBP designates three systemically important banks for 2019

    SBP designates three systemically important banks for 2019

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has designated three Domestic Systemically Important Banks (D-SIBs) for the year 2019, a statement said on Thursday.

    The State Bank announced the designation of D-SIBs for the year 2019 under the Framework for Domestic Systemically Important Banks (D-SIBs) that was introduced in April 2018.

    The framework introduced by State Bank is consistent with the international standards and practices and takes into account the local dynamics.

    It specifies the methodology for the identification and designation of D-SIBs, enhanced regulatory and supervisory requirements, and implementation guidelines.

    These enhanced requirements aim to further strengthen the resilience of the Systemically Important banks against shocks and augment their risk management capacities, the SBP said.

    The identification of D-SIBs involves two-step process. In the first step, sample banks are identified each year based on the quantitative and qualitative criteria. In the second step, D-SIBs are designated from among the sample banks on the basis of institutions’ systemic score in terms of their size, interconnectedness, substitutability, and complexity.

    In line with D-SIBs framework, State Bank has carried out the annual assessment on the basis of financials of end December 2018. As per this assessment, three banks viz. Habib Bank Ltd., National Bank of Pakistan, and United Bank Ltd. have been designated as D-SIBs for the year 2019. These banks will be subject to enhanced supervisory requirements and following Higher capital surcharge in the form of additional common equity tier-1 capital (CET-1) with effect from March 31, 2020:

    BUCKETName of InstitutionAdditional CET-1 Requirement for Bucket
    DEmpty3.5%
    CNational Bank of Pakistan and Habib Bank Ltd.2.0%
    BEmpty1.5%
    AUnited Bank Ltd (UBL).1.0%

    Besides, branches of Global-Systemically Important Banks (G-SIBs) operating in Pakistan will hold additional CET1 capital against their risk-weighted assets in Pakistan at the rate as applicable on the respective principal G-SIB.

  • Tax collection from salary income declines by 44 percent: State Bank

    Tax collection from salary income declines by 44 percent: State Bank

    KARACHI: Tax collection from salary income declined by 44 percent due to changes in income tax rates for all income slabs, according to a report issued by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

    The SBP said that during first nine-months of fiscal year 2018/2019 the tax collection on salaries remained much lower than in the same months of preceding year.

    The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) collected Rs53.5 billion as tax from salary income during July – March of Fiscal year 2018/2019 as compared with collection of Rs95.2 billion in the same period of the preceding fiscal year.

    “Tax collection on salaries also remained much lower than last year. In absolute terms, tax on salaries declined by Rs 41.7 billion during the review period, mainly due to changes in income tax rates for all income slabs,” the SBP said.

    Direct taxes having a share of 37 percent in overall FBR tax collection recorded a decline of 0.8 percent during Jul-Mar FY19 in contrast to a rise of 12.2 percent during the same period last year.

    Measures like the suspension of tax on mobile top-ups; reduction in come tax rates on salaries; reduction in the withholding tax rate on dividends; and spending under the PSDP explain the decline in direct taxes.

    Within direct taxes, major hit emerged from withholding taxes (largest contributor in direct taxes), which recorded a contraction of 8.7 percent during Jul-Mar FY19 against a rise of 16.1 percent during the same period last year.

    One-half of the decline in total withholding taxes is in the category of telephone/mobiles. Collection from telephone was only Rs 5.3 billion during Jul-Mar FY19 compared to a collection of Rs 38.0 billion during the same period last year.

    This lower collection from telephone/mobile phones was not surprising amid suspension of taxes on mobile phone top-up by the Supreme Court.

    Receipts from contracts were also lower compared to last year largely owing to a cut in the PSDP. Voluntary payments increased by Rs 34.3 billion during Jul-Mar FY19.

  • SBP sells treasury bills worth Rs2,212 billion in auction

    SBP sells treasury bills worth Rs2,212 billion in auction

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has raised Rs2,212 billion for budget financing in an auction of market treasury bills.

    The SBP on Thursday conducted auction of 3-, 6 and 12-month Market Treasury Bills (MTBs).

    The SBP received bids of Rs2,238 billion at face value of Rs2,326 billion in all three maturities.

    The central bank accepted bids at Rs2,212 billion at face value of Rs2,297 billion.

    The banks are seen more interested in lending in short-term government papers as they offered Rs1,991 billion in three-month MTB at face value of Rs2,054 billion.

    The SBP accepted the bids in three-month papers at realized amount of Rs1,978 billion at face value of Rs2,040 billion. The cut-off yield in three-month papers increased to 13.7499 percent as compared with previous auction of Rs12.7422 percent.

    The SBP also accepted bids at face value amounting Rs144.21 billion and Rs112.72 billion in 6-month and 12-month treasury bills respectively. The cut-off yield in these two instruments recorded at 13.95 percent and 14.1 percent, respectively.

    Banking experts said that the financial institutions were more aggressive in lending their money in government papers considering safe investment and high returns.

    The recent policy rate hike also attracted the commercial banks to enhance their exposures in government papers.

    The experts said that the reason to raise huge amount from private banks was government decision for not borrowing any more from the central bank.

  • SBP issues procedure for opening bank accounts of politically exposed persons

    SBP issues procedure for opening bank accounts of politically exposed persons

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has issued procedure for opening bank accounts of Politically Exposed Persons (PEPs) and instructed banks to facilitate such persons without compromising due diligence process under anti-money laundering (AML) and counter financing of terrorism (CFT).

    The central bank on Wednesday said that in order to ensure fair and equitable treatment of bank’s customers referred to as Politically Exposed Persons (PEPs), it had devised the following Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) to facilitate and streamline account opening process without compromising due diligence requirements prescribed under AML / CFT regime:

    (i) The bank upon receiving account opening request from PEP shall ensure that the basic requirements like Account Opening Form/Specimen Signature Card and Biometric Verification of the customer are completed on the same day;

    (ii) on the same day, the person shall be guided regarding specific requirements / formalities required for opening of an account. Further, the concerned branch shall report the details of the request made by PEP to the focal person nominated by the bank in line with instructions of BPRD Circular Letter No. 27 of 2015;

    (iii) within two working days of receipt of documents from PEP, the bank shall inform him / her in writing, the deficiencies, if any, in the documents or further clarifications required;

    (iv) once the deficiencies have been removed by PEP and all due diligence requirements have been satisfactorily completed, the account shall be opened by the bank within two working days;

    (v) in case the bank decides to refuse any request for account opening, within two working days, the reasons of refusal shall be conveyed in writing to the applicant in line with the instructions of BPRD Circular Letter No. 14 of 2017;

    (vi) in line with abovementioned Circular, the bank shall maintain separate files of all approved and rejected cases of PEPs. SBP inspection team during inspection of the bank may review the record especially the rejected cases;

    (vii) the bank shall report the following details of rejected cases of PEPs to the Director, Banking Conduct & Consumer Protection Department of SBP on monthly basis within 7 days of the close of every month;

    Details of Banking Services / Facilities Refused to PEPs (Politicians only) during the month:

    Name & Position of PEP (Politicians Only)Type of Banking Service / Facility Requested along with the DateReasons for Refusal along with the Date of Letter
       

    B. Details of Banking Services / Facilities Refused to PEPs (Other than Politicians) during the month:

    Name & Position of PEP (Other than Politicians)Type of Banking Service / Facility Requested along with the DateReasons for Refusal along with the Date of Letter
       

    (viii) Any PEP having grievance / disagreement with bank’s decision may contact the bank’s focal person nominated for the purpose. Banks have already been advised to prominently display the contact details of their and SBP’s focal person for PEP’s at their branches.

    (ix) The focal person shall guide PEP and ensure early resolution of the issue in light of applicable policies, rules & regulations.

    (x) If the grievance of PEP is not resolved within 15 days after registration of his / her complaint with bank’s focal person or if he / she is not satisfied with the conclusion, then he / she may directly contact the focal person appointed by SBP.

    (xi) The bank’s focal person shall maintain a proper MIS for all requests/grievances received from PEPs (allocating unique diary number) in order to monitor its progress at different stages.

    (xii) The focal person shall be responsible to facilitate PEPs and monitor the progress of their request.

    (xiii) The bank shall provide special assistance to PEPs and treat them with respect and due care during the account opening process.

    The SBP advised the banks to immediately disseminate the abovementioned instructions down the line to all of their branches and business locations to ensure compliance of the same in letter and spirit.

    Any non-compliance would be strictly dealt with penal provisions of Banking Companies Ordinance, 1962.

  • SBP revises ‘blocked accounts’ of non-resident Pakistanis under Foreign Exchange Manual

    SBP revises ‘blocked accounts’ of non-resident Pakistanis under Foreign Exchange Manual

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has revised blocked accounts of non-resident Pakistanis under Foreign Exchange Manual and laid down procedure for investment of amount from such blocked account.

    The SBP on Wednesday issued revised chapters of Foreign Exchange Manual and said that balances held in blocked accounts may be invested in approved government debt securities” expressed to be payable in Rupees or in fixed deposit with the bank in which the account is held subject to the prior approval of the State Bank.

    Such investment must be made through the bank with whom the blocked account is kept and registered in the name of the non-resident account holder or his/her nominee(s) in Pakistan.

    “The securities should not be held in bearer form and should not be sold or transferred without the permission of the State Bank. The income generated through investments in securities and sale proceeds of such securities must only be credited to the blocked account of the respective non-resident,” the SBP said.

    The SBP said that section 6 of the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act, 1947 empowers the State Bank to block the accounts in Pakistan of any person resident outside Pakistan and direct that payment of any sums due to that person shall only be made to a blocked account.

    In other words, amounts due to a person resident outside Pakistan, to whom remittances cannot be allowed, shall be credited to the blocked accounts of that person to ensure that the funds are not directly remitted or otherwise used in a manner contrary to the provisions of the Act.

    The SBP defined as a “blocked account” means an account opened as a blocked account at any office or branch in Pakistan of a bank authorized in this behalf by the State Bank or an account blocked by the order of the State Bank.

    All Authorized Dealers are permitted to open and maintain blocked accounts subject to the conditions laid down in subsequent paragraphs of this chapter. In certain cases, banks other than the Authorized Dealers may also be authorized by the State Bank to open and maintain blocked accounts.

    The State Bank may direct an authorized dealer to open a new or designate an existing account as “Blocked Account”. A blocked account may also be opened as a joint account in the name of a resident and a non-resident. No blocked account may be un-blocked or an existing ‘free’ account may be blocked by an Authorized Dealer except under the directions from the State Bank.

    Sub-section (1)(b) of Section 6 of the Act provides that where the State Bank has directed that any payment due to a non-resident may be made to a blocked account in his name with a bank in Pakistan, the crediting of the sum to the blocked account shall, to the extent of the sum credited, be a good discharge to the person making the payment.

    The central bank said that the State Bank may not approve certain remittances in settlement of liabilities to a particular person resident outside Pakistan. Payments in discharge of such liabilities to such person may be allowed to be made to a blocked account subject to such terms and conditions as may be specified by the State Bank.

    Where the State Bank directs that a payment be made to a blocked account, it may be made either:

    (i) by a banker’s payment order/cheque marked ‘payable to blocked account of ____________________only’ or

    (ii) by a crossed cheque or warrant drawn in favour of the beneficiary and marked with the words “Payable to blocked account of payee only.”

    (iii) Where such a cheque or warrant is sent to the payee, it is desirable that the payee should arrange for the opening of a blocked account with an Authorized Dealer in Pakistan before forwarding the instrument to that bank for collection. Application mentioning the name of the payee as the transferee and clearly marked ‘Blocked Account’ must be submitted to the State Bank for prior approval. The collecting bank must endorse cheques, warrants or drafts so marked “received for the credit of blocked account at ………………………… (Bank and Branch)” before presenting them for payment. The paying bank shall not pay such instruments, unless they are approved by the State Bank for payment to a blocked account. After payment has been made, the bank must endorse the instrument as “Payment made to blocked account at ………………………… (Bank and Branch)”. The amount which the State Bank has directed to be credited to a blocked account, must be immobilized pending the opening of the account and may not be used for any other purpose except with the prior approval of the State Bank.

    The State Bank may issue special instructions regarding operations on blocked accounts. In the absence of any such special instructions, no payments into or withdrawal from blocked accounts may be made unless prior approval of the State Bank has been obtained.

  • SBP increases key policy rate by 100bps to 13.25 percent

    SBP increases key policy rate by 100bps to 13.25 percent

    KARACHI: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Tuesday increased key policy rate by 100 basis points to 13.25 percent for next two months.

    The policy rate was announced by SBP governor Reza Baqir at a press conference here on Tuesday.

    The governor said that the monetary policy is announced in the month of July. He said that Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is an independent body to decide the policy rate.

    The governor said that the increase in utility prices would have inflationary pressure. The average inflation during the current fiscal year may increase to 11 to 12 percent. However, the pace of inflation will ease down during third and fourth quarter, he added.

    He said that hike in utility prices would inflate the prices of essential items. It may hurt the purchase power of common men. Considering these elements the committee decided to increase the discount rate, he added.

    The governor said that the policy rate would be eased if indicators showed improvements in coming months.

    The SBP later in its press release issued the following statement:

    There have been three key developments since the last MPC meeting.

    First, the Government of Pakistan has passed a FY20 budget that seeks to credibly improve fiscal sustainability by focusing on revenue measures to widen the tax base.

    Adjustments in utility prices and other measures in the budget are expected to lead to a one-time considerable increase in prices in the first half of FY20.

    On the other hand, the government has also committed to cease borrowing from the State Bank that would qualitatively improve the inflation outlook.

    Second, the outlook for external financing has further strengthened with the disbursement of the first tranche associated with the IMF Extended Fund Facility, activation of the Saudi oil facility, and other commitments of support from multilateral and bilateral partners.

    The current account deficit has also continued to fall suggesting that external pressures continue to decline. On the other hand, the depreciation in the exchange rate since the last MPC has added to inflationary pressures.

    Finally, on the international front, the sentiment towards emerging markets has improved with greater expectations of a policy rate cut in the United States.

    The SBP said that domestic demand is estimated to moderate to about 3 percent in FY19 and GDP growth to 3.3 percent.

    While current high frequency indicators point to a slowing in economic activity, this is expected to turn around in the course of the year on the back of improved market sentiments in the context of IMF supported program, a rebound in the agriculture sector and the gradual impact of government incentives for export-oriented industries. Conditional upon the latest available information, SBP expect the real GDP growth of around 3.5 percent in FY20.

    External conditions show continued steady improvement with a sizeable reduction in the current account deficit which fell by 29.3 percent to US$ 12.7 billion in Jul-May FY19 as compared to US$ 17.9 billion during the same period last year.

    This improvement was primarily driven by import compression and healthy growth in workers’ remittances. Export volumes have been growing even though export values have remained subdued due to a fall in unit prices as also experienced by competitor exporting countries.

    Future developments in export performance will also depend on growth rates of our trading partners and progress in alleviating domestic structural impediments.

    SBP’s foreign exchange reserves have risen to about US$8 billion on 12th July 2019 with the disbursement of the first tranche of the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility.

    Reserves are expected to rise further in FY20 on account of additional financial inflows from other international creditors including those related to the Saudi oil facility and continued improvement in current account deficit.

    The bulk of the needed adjustment in the real effective exchange rate to address the past overhang of overvaluation has been completed with the recent deprecation of the exchange rate.

    While the exchange rate is flexible and market determined the SBP stands ready to take action to address disorderly market conditions in the foreign exchange market.

    Led by substantial shortfall in revenue collection, higher than budgeted interest payments and security related expenditures, both the overall fiscal and primary deficits deteriorated in FY19.

    The FY20 budget seeks to credibly reverse the recent trend of fiscal deterioration by addressing long-standing weaknesses in the taxation system and to enhance documentation of economic activities.

    On the back of an ambitious target for tax collection and tight control over expenditures, the budget envisaged a sizable reduction in primary deficit. This fiscal consolidation would support SBP’s stabilization policies already in place.

    From a monetary policy perspective, the government’s strong commitment to end its borrowing from the SBP, and the implementation of liability management operation to restructure the outstanding debt held by SBP, would positively contribute towards monetary policy transmission while credibly anchor markets’ inflation expectations going forward.

    Reflecting the impact of stabilization measures, private sector credit (PSC) growth has started to decelerate. PSC expanded 11.4 percent during 1st Jul – 28th Jun FY19 as compared to 14.8 percent during the same period last year.

    The deceleration in credit was more pronounced in real terms as the increase in PSC was largely driven by higher input prices, which in turn increased the working capital needs of the businesses. This, together with higher budgetary borrowing led to a sharp increase in the net domestic assets (NDA) of the banking system.

    In aggregate, broad money supply (M2) grew by 12.2 percent during 1st Jul – 28th Jun FY19 as compared to 10 percent during the comparable period last year.

    Going forward, the composition of money supply is expected to change as NFA of the banking system is projected to improve, while the growth in NDA is likely to show substantial moderation.

  • Fiscal deficit deteriorates on slowdown in tax collection: SBP

    Fiscal deficit deteriorates on slowdown in tax collection: SBP

    KARACHI: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Monday said that the fiscal deficit was ballooned owing to slowdown in tax revenue collection and fall in non-tax revenue.

    In its third quarterly report on Pakistan Economy, the SBP said that the fiscal deficit deteriorated further, as a steep fall in non-tax revenues and a slowdown in tax revenue led the overall revenue collection to stagnate at last year’s level. On the other hand, expenditure increased sharply during July-March FY19, specifically the current expenditure that more than offset the decline in the development expenditure.

    While Pakistan’s economy moved along the stabilization phase led by demand management policies, vulnerabilities in the external and fiscal sectors persisted during Jul-Mar FY19.

    This implies that the current stabilization agenda needs to be reinforced with deep rooted structural reforms.

    The pace of economic growth slowed down considerably during FY19, mainly in response to policy measures taken to curb the twin deficits.

    These measures affected the performance of the industrial sector and dampened manufacturing activities in the country.

    Meanwhile, water- and weather-related concerns, in tandem with the higher cost of major inputs, took a toll on crop production. The weak showing by the commodity-producing sectors also constrained the output of the services sector.

    According to the report, inflation stubbornly kept an upward trajectory. Despite several rounds of policy rate hike since January 2018, the average CPI inflation during Jul-Mar FY19 exceeded the full year target.

    Although demand-pull pressures lessened in intensity towards the end of FY19, the Non-Food Non-Energy component continued to climb due to second round impact of exchange rate deprecation and increase in energy prices.

    On the external front, the current account deficit (CAD) declined on the back of lower import payments for both goods and services, and a decent growth in workers’ remittances.

    However, given the elevated level of CAD and insufficient foreign investments to fill the financing gap, the country had to resort to bilateral and commercial sources for external financing.
    The report features a special section on power tariffs in Pakistan. The analysis explains the process of power tariff determination in the country and assesses why tariffs have not softened despite the decline in fuel cost. It suggests that capacity payments constitute the bulk of power tariffs in Pakistan, and a sharp increase in these payments in recent years has completely offset gains from declining fuel cost.

    The report also contains another special section on the outlook of food security in Pakistan. The analysis emphasizes the related challenges that the country may face going forward, such as a high population growth and unfavorable water and climatic conditions, unless remedial measures are taken urgently.