Month: April 2020

  • Headline inflation contracts in March to 10.2pc

    Headline inflation contracts in March to 10.2pc

    ISLAMABAD: The headline inflation has contracted to 10.2 percent in March 2020 as compared with inflation in the previous month.

    Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Wednesday said that Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation increased by 10.2 percent on year-on-year basis in March 2020 as compared to an increase of 12.4 percent in the previous month and 8.6 percent in March 2019.

    On month-on-month basis, it increased by 0.04 percent in March 2020 as compared to a decrease of 1.0 percent in the previous month and an increase of 2.0 percent in March 2019.

    The CPI inflation in urban areas increased by 9.3 percent on year-on-year basis in March 2020 as compared to an increase of 11.2 percent in the previous month and 8.9 percent in March 2019.

    On month-on-month basis, it increased by 0.1 percent in March 2020 as compared to a decrease of 1.1 percent in the previous month and an increase of 1.9 percent in March 2019.

    CPI inflation in rural areas increased by 11.7 percent on year-on-year basis in March 2020 as compared to an increase of 14.2 percent in the previous month and 8.2 percent in March 2019.

    On month-on-month basis, it decreased by 0.1 percent in March 2020 as compared to a decrease of 1.0 percent in the previous month and an increase of 2.2 percent in March 2019.

    Sensitive Price Index (SPI) based inflation on YoY increased by 11.8 percent in March 2020 as compared to an increase of 14.5 percent a month earlier and an increase of 10.5 percent in March 2019. On MoM basis, it decreased by 0.3 percent in March 2020 as compared to a decrease of 0.8 percent a month earlier and an increase of 2.1 percent in March 2019.

    Wholesale Price Indicator (WPI) inflation on YoY basis increased by 9.2 percent in March 2020 as compared to an increase of 12.6 percent a month earlier and an increase of 16.6 percent in March 2019.

    WPI inflation on MoM basis it decreased by 0.9 percent in March 2020 as compared to a decrease of 0.8 percent a month earlier and an increase of 2.2 percent in corresponding month of last year i.e. March 2019.

  • Oil consumption falls by 40pc during coronavirus lockdown

    Oil consumption falls by 40pc during coronavirus lockdown

    KARACHI: The oil consumption during last 15 days of the current month has declined by an average 40 percent due to lockdown to control outbreak of coronavirus.

    Analysts at Topline Securities said that the oil consumption has declined to 26,000 tons/day compared to average consumption of 46,000 tons/day, which is due to the lockdowns announced by the provinces to control the outbreak of Covid-19.

    Due to Covid-19 outbreak, Oil sales for March-2020 are expected to decline by 33 percent YoY (and 5 percent MoM) largely driven by declines in High Speed Diesel (HSD) and Furnace Oil (FO) volumes of 31 percent YoY and 62 percent YoY, respectively.

    Ex-FO performance did not fare well either as 29 percent YoY decline is likely. The slight uptick in FO volumes witnessed in Jan-2020 has quickly disappeared with declines of 33 percent MoM and 51 percent MoM in Feb-2020 and Mar-2020, respectively.

    During 9MFY20, overall volumes went down by 13 percent YoY (ex FO 8 percent) due to overall economic slowdown and impact of Covid-19.

    PSO sales are likely to decline the most by 46 percent YoY. FO volumes are expected to decline by 88 percent YoY, HSD volumes by 34 percent YoY and MS volumes by 18 percent YoY.

    HASCOL volumes are likely to decline by 35 percent YoY, but are expected to improve by 11 percent MoM.

    APL and SHEL volumes are expected to decline by 30 percent YoY and 28 percent YoY, respectively during the month.